Edgen Crypto·Nov 25 2025, 05:51
[1] Trader Makes $100K in Seconds Front-Running Token ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trader-makes-1 ...)[2] This Trader Makes $100K in 30 minutes/day (https://www.everand.com/podcast/707159178/Thi ...)[3] Retail Trader Crosses $100K in Profits (https://www.smbtraining.com/blog/this-retail- ...)
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Nov 25 2025, 06:50
Analysis: Bitcoin More Exposed Than Ethereum to Emerging Quantum Computing Threats
## Executive Summary The advent of quantum computing presents a forward-looking but significant threat to the security of all major public-key cryptographies, including those underpinning **Bitcoin** and **Ethereum**. An analysis of their respective architectures reveals that while both networks are theoretically vulnerable, **Bitcoin** faces a more immediate and complex challenge due to its public key exposure model. In contrast, **Ethereum** benefits from a degree of built-in protection and a more defined roadmap toward quantum-resistant standards, creating a potential divergence in long-term security sentiment. ## The Quantum Threat in Detail The central vulnerability for both blockchains lies in the **Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA)**, the cryptographic method used to verify ownership and authorize transactions. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer could theoretically employ **Shor's algorithm** to derive a private key from its corresponding public key. This would grant an attacker the ability to forge signatures and illicitly transfer funds. According to research, breaking **Bitcoin's** 256-bit `secp256k1` encryption would require a machine with approximately 2,000 to 3,000 stable logical qubits, a capability that does not yet exist but is the subject of intense research and development. ## Bitcoin's Specific Vulnerabilities **Bitcoin's** primary exposure stems from the practice of address reuse. When a transaction is sent from a Bitcoin address, its public key is permanently recorded on the blockchain. These exposed keys become targets for a "long-range" quantum attack. Any funds remaining in such wallets are at risk. While migrating funds to a new, unused address mitigates this specific risk, it does not solve the fundamental problem. A more severe "short-range" attack would be capable of breaking any current wallet type, including P2TR (Taproot) addresses, at the moment a transaction is broadcast. To defend against this, the entire **Bitcoin** network would need to execute a hard fork to migrate all existing funds to a new, post-quantum signature algorithm, a process fraught with logistical and consensus-building challenges. ## Ethereum's Defensive Posture and Roadmap Like **Bitcoin**, **Ethereum** also relies on ECDSA for transaction signing, making it fundamentally susceptible to the same cryptographic threat. However, **Ethereum's** account model offers a degree of protection, as public keys are not directly exposed from addresses in the same manner. The primary threat remains the potential for private key derivation at the point of transaction. Critically, the **Ethereum** developer community is proactively addressing the quantum threat with a clear and public roadmap. This includes the research and implementation of various Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) solutions. Prominent among these are **STARKs (Scalable Transparent Arguments of Knowledge)**, which are already in use in Layer-2 scaling solutions, as well as hash-based and lattice-based cryptography. ## Market and Ecosystem Implications The quantum threat is a systemic risk that extends beyond **Bitcoin** and **Ethereum** to nearly all modern digital security systems. Within the digital asset ecosystem, the differing preparedness levels could lead to a significant market divergence. Blockchains that demonstrate a clear and agile path to quantum resistance may be viewed more favorably by long-term investors. This has also fueled interest in alternative assets, such as privacy coins like **Zcash**, that market themselves on enhanced security features. The overarching narrative is a race to migrate critical digital infrastructure to PQC standards before quantum computing capabilities mature. ## Expert Commentary The timeline for this threat remains a subject of debate, though it is increasingly being treated with urgency. **Ethereum** co-founder **Vitalik Buterin** has publicly warned that the cryptographic standards securing both **Ethereum** and **Bitcoin** could become vulnerable to quantum attacks as early as 2028. The prevailing view among cryptographers is that the networks will likely be upgraded with quantum-resistant algorithms before a critical threat materializes, but the risk of a sudden breakthrough in quantum computing remains a low-probability, high-impact event that warrants preemptive action.
Nov 25 2025, 06:41
Bitcoin Navigates Dual Signals: Sharpe Ratio Hits Zero Amid Unprecedented On-Chain Volume
## Executive Summary Bitcoin's market is currently defined by two powerful and somewhat contradictory phenomena. The asset's annualized Sharpe ratio, a key measure of risk-adjusted returns, has plummeted to near-zero, a reading historically associated with market bottoms. Simultaneously, on-chain data reveals an unprecedented volume of Bitcoin movement, including the largest transfer of long-dormant coins in the network's history. This combination of a bottoming risk metric and massive, whale-driven transfers creates a complex and uncertain environment for investors. ## The Event in Detail ### Sharpe Ratio Declines to Neutral The Sharpe ratio, which calculates the excess return of an asset for each unit of volatility, has fallen to approximately zero for Bitcoin. This indicates that, at present, the potential returns from holding Bitcoin do not compensate for the risks involved when compared to a risk-free asset. Historically, such low readings have often signaled that the market is in a consolidation phase or has reached a price bottom, as the speculative froth has been removed. While past performance is not indicative of future results, this metric suggests a shift away from the "overheated" risk sentiment observed during prior bull market peaks and into a potentially lower-risk phase. ### Record On-Chain Volume and Dormant Coin Movement In a single week, more than 8% of the entire Bitcoin supply was moved on-chain, a rare and significant event. The most notable transaction was the movement of 80,000 BTC (valued at approximately $8.6 billion) from a wallet that had been inactive for 14 years. According to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, this represents "the largest daily movement of coins aged 10 years or more in history." The previous record for such a long-held whale transaction was a comparatively small 3,700 BTC. This activity is part of a broader spike in large-scale transactions, with over 29,000 transfers exceeding $1 million in a single week. ## Market Implications The convergence of these two events presents a dual narrative. The neutral Sharpe ratio could be interpreted as a bullish long-term signal, suggesting that much of the downside risk has been priced in and that risk-adjusted returns may become more attractive from this level. This could appeal to institutional and retail investors looking for a new entry point. However, the massive on-chain movement of long-dormant coins introduces a layer of uncertainty. Such transfers could signal an intent by early adopters to distribute their holdings and realize profits, which would exert significant selling pressure on the market. Alternatively, these movements could be part of a strategic repositioning, such as transferring assets to new custody solutions or preparing for large-scale institutional transactions. Until the intent behind these transfers becomes clear, they represent a potential source of near-term volatility. ## Expert Commentary The scale of the on-chain movements has caught the attention of seasoned analysts. CryptoQuant analyst J.A. Maartun commented on the large transfers, stating, "In eight years of analyzing Bitcoin, I've never seen anything like this." This sentiment underscores the unusual nature of the current market. While some on-chain analytics point to a potential local bottom if the Sharpe Signal metric ascends back into positive territory, others warn of further correctional movements if risk continues to outweigh rewards, particularly on major exchanges like **Binance**. ## Broader Context These developments are occurring within the dynamic narrative of Bitcoin's market cycles. The shift in the Sharpe ratio mirrors patterns seen at previous market troughs, which were followed by periods of stabilization and eventual recovery. For investors, this moment highlights the tension between quantitative metrics suggesting a market bottom and the unpredictable actions of large, early market participants. The outcome will likely influence whether the broader market perceives this as a buying opportunity, signaling confidence in future price appreciation, or as a warning of impending supply increases from long-term holders.
Nov 25 2025, 06:38
Crypto Venture Capital Investment Hits $4.65 Billion in Q3 2025, Boosted by Fintech Megadeals
## The Event in Detail Venture capital investment in the cryptocurrency and blockchain sector reached $4.65 billion in the third quarter of 2025, marking the second-strongest quarter since the market downturn following the collapse of FTX. While data from CryptoRank suggests a higher total of $8 billion, the conservative figure still represents a significant rebound in investor confidence. A key feature of the quarter was the concentration of capital in a few large-scale deals. Just seven venture deals accounted for roughly half of all capital raised. Among the most prominent was a $1 billion funding round for financial technology company **Revolut**. This trend was not isolated, as **Nscale** also secured a round exceeding a billion dollars, making 2025 the first year since 2022 to feature multiple billion-dollar venture deals. On the deal volume side, **Coinbase Ventures** emerged as the most active investor of the quarter, participating in 22 separate deals. ## Financial Mechanics of Megadeals The funding round for **Revolut** was a large secondary share sale that established a new valuation of $75 billion, making it one of Europe's most valuable private technology firms. This type of transaction provides liquidity for employees and early backers, signaling a level of maturity and financial stability that is attractive to institutional investors. Participants in the sale included prominent institutional players like the venture arm of **Nvidia (NVDA)**, **Coatue**, **Greenoaks**, and **Fidelity**. **Revolut**'s financial performance underpins this valuation. The company reported a 72% increase in revenue to $4.0 billion in 2024, with profits before tax surging 149% to $1.4 billion. This growth has been sustained into 2025, with the company now serving over 65 million retail customers and its **Revolut Business** segment achieving $1 billion in annualized revenue. ## Market Implications The Q3 funding data indicates a clear "flight to quality" within the crypto investment landscape. Unlike previous cycles characterized by broad, early-stage speculation, the current environment shows investors prioritizing established companies with proven business models and significant revenue streams. The dominance of late-stage funding rounds, which accounted for 55% of deal value in Q1 2025, has continued and intensified. This trend is fostering a bridge for institutional allocators to gain exposure to the sector's growth without the direct volatility of token markets. According to a report from CryptoRank, "policy certainty is fueling the American crypto venture capital," suggesting that a more stable regulatory environment in the United States is a key catalyst for this renewed institutional interest. ## Broader Context and Expert Commentary The rebound in crypto VC funding aligns with a broader recovery in the global venture market, which saw a 38% year-over-year increase in funding in Q3 2025. However, the crypto sector's concentration on megadeals is particularly pronounced. The strategic activities of companies like **Revolut** highlight the sector's direction. By securing banking licenses in the European Union and Mexico, expanding into new markets like India, and launching its own crypto exchange, **Revolut X**, the company is actively bridging the gap between traditional finance and the digital asset economy. This strategy of embedding crypto services within a larger, regulated fintech ecosystem appears to be the model favored by institutional capital, suggesting a path for sustained, long-term growth in the industry.