Rusal Profit Evaporates Despite 23% Revenue Growth
Russian aluminum producer Rusal announced on March 18 a dramatic swing in its financial performance for 2025. The company posted an adjusted loss of $787 million, a sharp reversal from the $983 million profit it earned in the previous year. This downturn occurred even as revenue climbed 23% year-over-year to $14.81 billion, indicating that strong sales were insufficient to offset severe operational cost pressures.
Adjusted EBITDA Plummets 30% as Margins Shrink
The core of Rusal's financial trouble is visible in its contracting profitability. Adjusted EBITDA fell by 30% to $1.05 billion, while the corresponding EBITDA margin was nearly halved, dropping to 7.1% from 12.4% in the prior year. This margin collapse signals that surging input costs—likely related to energy, logistics, and raw materials in a volatile global market—wiped out the benefits of higher aluminum prices or sales volumes. The company also increased its capital expenditures by 8.1% to $1.48 billion, placing further strain on its finances during a period of unprofitability.
Results Signal Sector-Wide Profitability Risks
Rusal's inability to translate strong revenue growth into profit serves as a bearish indicator for the entire industrial metals sector. The report suggests that even major producers are struggling with severe margin compression. This outcome is likely to weigh on Rusal's stock price and may lead investors to reassess the earnings potential of other aluminum and base metal companies that are facing similar macroeconomic headwinds and supply chain disruptions.