Edgen Stock·Nov 21 2025, 12:47
[1] Citadel Securities' Rubner Sees Stock Rally Set to Keep Running (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025- ...)[2] A well-known former Goldman Sachs strategy expert believes that ... (https://news.futunn.com/en/post/59328396/a-we ...)[3] Why this ex-Goldman strategist now at Citadel is bullish on stocks (https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-fade-t ...)
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Nov 21 2025, 21:35
Tango Therapeutics Advances Vopimetostat to Pivotal Trial After Positive Cancer Data
## Executive Summary **Tango Therapeutics** (**TNGX**) has announced positive data from the Phase 1/2 trial of its lead drug candidate, vopimetostat (TNG462), a PRMT5 inhibitor targeting MTAP-deleted cancers. The results have prompted the company to plan for a pivotal trial in second-line pancreatic cancer, scheduled for 2026. Concurrent with the clinical update, the company strengthened its balance sheet by securing nearly $225 million through an equity offering and a private placement, signaling readiness for late-stage development. ## The Event in Detail Vopimetostat is a precision oncology therapy designed to be effective in cancers characterized by a specific genetic mutation known as MTAP-deletion. In its recent Phase 1/2 study, the drug demonstrated a 27% objective response rate (ORR) across 94 evaluable patients with 16 different types of MTAP-deleted cancers. In the cohort with second-line MTAP-deleted pancreatic cancer, vopimetostat doubled the median progression-free survival compared to historical benchmarks. To fund the next stage of development, **Tango Therapeutics** completed a substantial financing round, including a $209.99 million follow-on equity offering and a $15 million private placement. This capital infusion provides the company with a significant financial runway to initiate and conduct its planned pivotal trial, which is expected to enroll approximately 300 patients. ## Market Implications The positive data release serves to de-risk vopimetostat and has been met with a bullish sentiment from the market, reflecting increased investor confidence in **Tango's** lead asset. The successful capital raise further solidifies the company's position, ensuring it is well-funded for the costly and lengthy process of a pivotal trial. The strategic focus on second-line MTAP-deleted pancreatic cancer targets a patient population with high unmet medical need, as the historical ORR for standard chemotherapy is only around 10%. A successful trial outcome would position vopimetostat as a significant improvement over the current standard of care. ## Competitive Landscape The 27% ORR positions vopimetostat competitively within the emerging class of PRMT5 inhibitors. For comparison, **Bristol Myers Squibb's** (**BMY**) agent, BMS-986504, showed a 23% ORR in various solid tumors. In the specific context of pancreatic cancer, **Amgen's** (**AMGN**) AMG 193 has posted a 9% confirmed ORR, which rises to 22% when including unconfirmed responses. **Tango's** results appear favorable, particularly given the challenging nature of pancreatic cancer treatment. ## Broader Context This development underscores the broader industry trend towards precision medicine in oncology, where therapies are targeted to specific genetic markers like MTAP-deletion. A successful outcome for vopimetostat would not only provide a new treatment option but also validate **Tango's** scientific platform, which is based on the concept of synthetic lethality. This could have wider implications for the biotech sector, reinforcing the value of genetically-targeted approaches in developing novel cancer therapies.
Nov 21 2025, 20:19
Bill Ackman Flags Crypto Contagion Risk for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Amid New FHFA Crypto Mandate
## Executive Summary A confluence of regulatory directives and market observations has placed U.S. housing finance giants **Fannie Mae** and **Freddie Mac** at the center of a new, complex risk analysis involving the cryptocurrency market. Investor **Bill Ackman** has publicly warned that turmoil in the digital asset space is creating downward pressure on the stocks of these government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) due to forced liquidations by a common investor base. This warning comes as the **Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)** has mandated that the GSEs develop proposals to integrate cryptocurrency as a potential asset for mortgage reserves, signaling a deeper, though uncertain, entanglement between traditional housing finance and the volatile crypto sector. ## The Event in Detail Two distinct but related events are shaping the narrative. First, **Bill Ackman**, founder of Pershing Square Capital Management, identified a non-fundamental driver for the recent stock price declines in **Fannie Mae** and **Freddie Mac**. He posits that a segment of investors holds positions in both cryptocurrencies and GSE stocks. As volatility in the crypto market triggers margin calls and forced selling, these investors are compelled to liquidate other assets, including their GSE holdings, to cover their positions. This creates a contagion effect, where the stock prices of the housing giants are impacted by sell-offs in an entirely separate and unregulated asset class. Second, in a directive signed on June 25, 2025, the **FHFA** ordered both **Fannie Mae** and **Freddie Mac** to prepare formal proposals for considering cryptocurrency as an asset for reserves in their single-family mortgage loan risk assessments. Crucially, the order specifies this should be done without requiring the conversion of the cryptocurrency to U.S. dollars. This regulatory push forces the institutions to formally evaluate how they can incorporate digital assets directly onto their risk frameworks. ## Market Implications The immediate implication, as highlighted by **Ackman**, is the introduction of a new volatility vector for GSE stocks. Investors must now account for risks stemming from the crypto market, which are unrelated to the underlying performance of the U.S. housing market. This hidden correlation complicates risk modeling for shareholders. Longer-term, the **FHFA** directive could have systemic implications. By formally sanctioning cryptocurrency as a potential reserve asset for mortgage underwriting, the U.S. housing finance system becomes directly exposed to the well-documented volatility of digital assets. While the **FHFA** has stipulated that the GSEs must consider "additional risk mitigants" and "adjustments for market volatility," the framework for such controls is not yet defined, introducing significant uncertainty. The move represents a potential institutional embrace of crypto but also a formal link between the stability of the housing market and the speculative nature of digital currencies. ## Expert Commentary Bill Ackman articulated the core issue by pointing to the correlated shareholder base. His analysis suggests that the sell-off is not a reflection of the GSEs' intrinsic value but rather a technical market phenomenon driven by external financial distress. > "Cryptocurrency market's forced liquidation is causing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's stock sell-off. The correlation is hidden in the shareholder base, where some investors hold both crypto and the two government-sponsored enterprises' stocks." Meanwhile, the **FHFA**'s directive has drawn scrutiny from lawmakers. Senators have raised concerns over the lack of transparency in the process, questioning how the agency assessed the risks and benefits and how it plans to gather stakeholder feedback before approving any proposals from **Fannie Mae** and **Freddie Mac**. ## Broader Context This situation highlights the growing pains of integrating digital assets into the traditional financial system (TradFi). On one hand, regulatory bodies like the **FHFA** are beginning to explore pathways for crypto adoption in highly regulated sectors. On the other hand, market experts like **Ackman** are flagging the immediate, real-world consequences of cross-market contagion. The case of **Fannie Mae** and **Freddie Mac** serves as a critical case study in the unforeseen risks that emerge as the once-separate worlds of crypto and traditional finance continue to merge. While **Ackman** has historically been a bull on the long-term prospects of the GSEs, his recent warning underscores a new and potent risk factor that investors and regulators must now confront.
Nov 21 2025, 20:08
Lam Research Stock Declines Despite Strong Q1 Earnings and Revenue Beat
## Executive Summary **Lam Research (LRCX)** has reported record financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted revenues of $5.32 billion and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.26. However, this strong performance has been met with a negative market reaction, as the company's stock has declined 5.4% since the earnings announcement. This divergence suggests investor concerns regarding slowing growth momentum and future revenue composition, particularly concerning its operations in China. ## The Event in Detail For its first quarter of fiscal 2026, Lam Research announced revenues of $5.32 billion, a figure that exceeded consensus estimates by 2% and marked a 28% increase from the $4.17 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. This performance represents the company's third consecutive quarter with sales exceeding the $5 billion threshold. Non-GAAP earnings stood at $1.26 per share, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25 by 4.1% and representing a 46.5% increase year-over-year. Despite these strong top- and bottom-line beats, the year-over-year revenue growth rate of 27.6% indicates a slowdown from the 33.6% pace recorded in the preceding quarter. ## Market Implications The decline in Lam Research's stock price, despite the positive earnings report, points to underlying investor apprehension. The primary factor appears to be the deceleration in revenue growth, which may signal that the company's rapid expansion is moderating. Furthermore, the company's guidance regarding its China operations is a significant factor. Management stated an expectation for the China region to constitute less than 30% of overall revenues in the 2026 calendar year, a disclosure that could be interpreted as a potential headwind given the region's importance to the semiconductor market. The stock's "wobble" post-announcement reflects this uncertainty as the market digests the sustainability of its multi-billion dollar revenue streak against a complex geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop. ## Expert Commentary Despite the recent stock decline, analyst sentiment from some sectors remains positive. **Zacks Investment Research** currently assigns Lam Research a "Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy)." Their analysis projects continued strength, with consensus estimates for the company’s fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implying year-over-year increases of approximately 14% and 15.2%, respectively. This bullish outlook, rooted in fundamental analysis, contrasts sharply with the immediate market sentiment. Commentary from retail investors on platforms like Stocktwits has been mixed, with some expressing frustration that positive fundamentals are not being reflected in the stock price. ## Broader Context Lam Research operates in the highly competitive semiconductor equipment market. Its performance and strategic decisions are benchmarked against major competitors such as **Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)** and **KLA Corporation (KLAC)**. The entire sector is sensitive to global supply chain dynamics, capital expenditure cycles of major chipmakers, and international trade policies. Lam's explicit guidance on reducing its revenue dependency on China reflects a broader strategic realignment occurring across the industry in response to geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions. The market's reaction to Lam's report serves as a barometer for how investors are weighing strong current performance against potential future risks in the semiconductor landscape.