Strategy's $1.25B bitcoin sale plan pushes BTC toward $62,000

Bitcoin fell 2% to $62,000 after Strategy disclosed plans to sell up to $1.25 billion in bitcoin, reigniting supply-overhang fears from the largest corporate holder of the asset.

"Strategy's actions are muddying bitcoin's near-term prospects," Geoffrey Kendrick, global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, said. The bank maintained its end-2026 bitcoin price target of $100,000, arguing the recent selloff reflects uncertainty over Strategy's evolving business model rather than balance-sheet deterioration.

Strategy sold 3,588 bitcoin for about $216 million last week, its largest disposal to date, while adopting a Digital Credit Capital Framework that includes a bitcoin monetization program, a USD reserve, share buybacks and preferred stock support. The company holds 843,775 bitcoin, representing more than 4% of the total supply that will ever exist. Its STRC preferred stock, which pays a 12% annual dividend, fell to an intraday low of $71.25 last month before recovering to around $90, still below its $100 par value.

The shift away from Strategy's long-held "never sell bitcoin" mantra introduces a new source of supply risk for a market already grappling with macro headwinds. JPMorgan analysts said formalizing bitcoin sales creates "avoidable two-way risk" by making Strategy both a buyer and seller. Grayscale's head of research, Zach Pandl, disagreed, arguing the sales strengthen Strategy's balance sheet and help establish a more durable price floor. With $1.76 billion in annual dividend obligations and $3.8 billion in convertible debt, the company's ability to service its liabilities without further bitcoin sales depends on investor confidence in its new framework — a dynamic Kendrick compared to a central bank promising to do "whatever it takes" to maintain credibility.

On the daily chart, bitcoin is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, with the 20-day EMA near $62,500 serving as the first resistance level. A break below $61,000 could trigger further long liquidations, while a move above $63,200 may force short sellers to cover positions. Long liquidations reached roughly $52 million over the past 24 hours compared with $20 million in short liquidations, Coinglass data shows, indicating most forced selling has come from bullish positions.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.