Bernstein analysts are championing Figure Technology Solutions as a unique blockchain marketplace after the fintech’s first-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates, suggesting its model for tokenizing real-world credit is poised for significant growth. Figure reported the strong results on May 11.
“As the market gets more efficient in tracking live blockchain volume data, we believe FIGR’s stock price should become a real-time reflection of blockchain loan volumes,” Bernstein analysts said in a May 15 note, adding that on-chain data points to a record-breaking second quarter.
While specific financial results were not disclosed in the report, Figure exceeded consensus estimates for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The company’s core business involves converting credit assets like home equity lines of credit into blockchain-native instruments. Its Forge platform breaks whole loans into liquid, single-dollar participation units, addressing a key liquidity challenge for real-world assets (RWA) in decentralized finance.
The report underscores the vast disconnect between the current state and potential future of on-chain finance. Bernstein has previously estimated a $4 trillion addressable market for tokenized credit, while industry data from RWA.xyz shows the sector is currently valued at just $5.14 billion, highlighting the long-term growth opportunity Figure is targeting.
A New Model for Capital Markets
Figure is working to convince investors it is more than a home equity lender, positioning itself as a full-stack blockchain capital markets platform. Co-founder Mike Cagney explained on the company's May 12 earnings call that traditional DeFi lending struggles with illiquid collateral like whole loans. Figure’s platform is designed to solve this by creating fractional, tradable units from these assets.
Bernstein sees this creating a complete marketplace where Figure “simply clips a small fee of the entire blockchain economy within its ecosystem.”
Despite the model’s promise, Figure CEO Michael Tannenbaum acknowledged that institutional investors remain skeptical of blockchain-for-finance narratives. He argued the company’s advantage is operational, describing AI as “the brain” and blockchain as “the nervous system” that makes underwriting and compliance more efficient to automate.
Expanding the On-Chain Credit Ecosystem
The push to bring credit on-chain extends beyond Figure. Projects like Centrifuge have also expanded to offer tokenized credit and U.S. Treasury products on new blockchain networks to connect institutional assets with DeFi liquidity.
Figure itself is expanding beyond its core home equity business into segments like auto loans. This is being done through the Hastra DeFi protocol, which was launched by the Provenance Blockchain Foundation. Hastra recently announced its launch on the Morpho protocol on Ethereum, which opens up its tokenized credit products to a significantly larger DeFi market.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.