Cosmos Hub’s ATOM token gained nearly 8% over the past week to trade above $1.89 on Wednesday, as a surge in derivatives open interest and positive funding rates suggest a strong bullish undercurrent, supported by Bitcoin’s climb toward $77,500.
Data from Coinglass shows Open Interest (OI) for ATOM futures reached $137.18 million, a significant increase from $125 million on April 15, said Hassan Maishera, an analyst at Invezz. The rising OI, a measure of the total number of outstanding futures contracts, points to new money entering the market and strengthening the rally.
Further bolstering the bullish case, ATOM’s funding rates flipped positive on Monday and climbed to 0.0093% by Wednesday, according to CoinGlass data. This indicates that traders with long positions are paying those with short positions to keep their contracts open, signaling strong conviction in further price appreciation.
“The combination of rising Open Interest and positive funding rates has historically set the stage for sharp continuation moves,” Maishera said. The next key test for ATOM is the descending trendline resistance around $1.93, a break of which could open the path toward higher targets at $2.09 and $2.39.
Technicals Support Further Upside
The token is currently trading above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.82, which now acts as immediate support. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near 61, indicating that while momentum is strong, the asset is not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for more gains.
Should the price break above the immediate $1.93 resistance, the first major hurdle would be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its recent decline, located at $2.09. A sustained move above that could see the token challenge the more formidable barrier at $2.39, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement and the 200-day EMA at $2.44.
However, a failure to overcome the $1.93 trendline could see momentum stall. A drop below the 50-day EMA at $1.82 would shift the focus to lower support levels at $1.65 and the recent cycle low near $1.60, where buyers may look to re-enter.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.