Executive Summary
A new, sophisticated crypto market manipulation strategy exploits "low float, high FDV" tokenomics in dual-listed assets on spot and perpetual futures markets, leading to significant liquidations and wealth transfer from retail investors. This method directly leverages exchange mark price mechanisms to induce cascading forced closures.
The Event in Detail
The manipulation strategy centers on "low float, high FDV" (Fully Diluted Valuation) tokens, where a minimal circulating supply combined with a high total potential valuation creates an environment ripe for price control. Insiders typically control the majority of the token supply, artificially inflating scarcity and making spot prices highly susceptible to manipulation. These tokens are strategically dual-listed on both illiquid spot markets, for direct price control, and high-liquidity, high-leverage perpetual futures markets, designed to attract and then exploit leveraged traders.
Manipulators employ artificial trading volume and social media narratives to draw in retail investors. They then meticulously monitor Open Interest (OI) and funding rates to identify optimal moments for initiating a "squeeze." The core of this attack weaponizes the exchange's mark price mechanism, which is used as a reference to prevent unnecessary liquidations during volatility. By controlling the spot price, manipulators can influence the index price, which in turn moves the mark price to trigger forced liquidations—either short squeezes or long squeezes. This process was notably observed in the Hyperliquid XPL token event, where a 200% price surge within minutes, followed by a rapid crash, caused an estimated $60 million in trader losses while orchestrators reportedly profited over $46 million. Key players in this event exploited Hyperliquid's isolated oracle system and thin pre-market liquidity.
These forced liquidations provide massive liquidity, enabling manipulators to exit their pre-established futures positions at highly favorable prices. Binance's Alpha+Perp launch model has been identified as a capital-driven strategy where market makers accumulate positions via Alpha listings and boost OI through Perp markets, attracting retail participation and generating significant returns, often exceeding 150-200% per transaction. They utilize high funding rates for arbitrage and coordinate promotions to sustain market hype, ultimately distributing assets at peak prices.
Market Implications
This manipulation strategy has profound implications for the broader crypto market, leading to significant and rapid price swings that cause substantial liquidations and a transfer of wealth from retail traders to sophisticated manipulators. In the short term, it creates an intensely volatile and speculative environment, particularly for new token listings, and is notably bearish for retail investors caught in these schemes.
Long-term, this practice erodes trust in emerging projects, cryptocurrency exchanges, and the overall market integrity. Such incidents may invite stricter regulatory scrutiny on tokenomics models, exchange listing practices, and derivatives markets. The incident on Hyperliquid, where the protocol's unique architecture with an isolated margin system prevented bad debt for the protocol but left traders exposed, highlights vulnerabilities in decentralized platforms and illiquid markets. Retail traders are advised to exercise extreme caution, particularly regarding high leverage, and to monitor order book depth and on-chain cash flows.
Crypto analyst VaderResearch noted in May 2024 that
"float is a 'meme' that can be gamed,"
suggesting the low float, high FDV model might not be as problematic as often perceived. However, TokenInsight countered in 2024 that
"unlocking tokens over time can create significant selling pressure,"
emphasizing the inherent risks of such tokenomics. Hasib Qureshi told Unchained in 2024 that
"price discovery in low float, high FDV coins happens in a private market that's either rigged, delusional, or both,"
underscoring the lack of fair market mechanisms. These insights collectively highlight the contentious nature of these token models and the potential for unfair price discovery.
Broader Context
The exploitation of low float, high FDV tokens aligns with broader patterns of crypto market manipulation, including liquidation hunting, wash trading, and pump-and-dump schemes. Whales, or well-capitalized traders, intentionally move market prices toward known liquidation zones to trigger cascades of forced closures, profiting from the resultant volatility and accumulating discounted assets. This is often orchestrated using sophisticated algorithms that identify vulnerable positions based on Open Interest, liquidation data, and funding rates.
Research from Shiri Wang and Tianyang Zhang indicates that market makers create artificial price swings, lure traders into FOMO-driven futures bets, and then cash out. Tactics like artificial trading activity and exaggerated demand, as seen in cases like NexFundAI, are prevalent. Data from Transpose reveals that in 2023, 54% of ERC-20 tokens listed on DEXes displayed patterns suggestive of pump-and-dump schemes, though these represented a small fraction of total trading volume.
On September 2, 2025, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a joint statement clarifying that existing law does not prohibit their regulated exchanges from facilitating trading in spot crypto asset products. This initiative aims to foster innovation and competition while enhancing market integrity and investor protection, potentially allowing mainstream U.S. exchanges to list digital asset products and providing a counter-narrative to the unregulated manipulation observed in other segments of the market. Regulators emphasized the need for secure custody, robust market surveillance, and transparent reporting.
source:[1] Decoding New Token Listing Strategies: How 'Low Float, High Control' Spot + Futures Combinations Become the New King of Durians | PANews (https://www.panewslab.com/zh/articles/2660c44 ...)[2] The Crypto Scam You're Falling For: Low Float, High FDV Tokens Exposed! | HackerNoon (https://hackernoon.com/the-crypto-scam-youre- ...)[3] USDC, Hyperliquid, and XPL: How a 200% Surge Exposed DeFi Vulnerabilities | OKX (https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/groun ...)