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AI Investment Boom Forecast to Drive Global GDP and Reshape Digital Infrastructure Market
## Executive Summary Financial institutions, led by a bullish forecast from Bank of America, anticipate that sustained capital investment in Artificial Intelligence will be a primary driver of global economic growth through 2026. This wave of spending is not only projected to elevate the GDP of major economies like the U.S. and China but is also creating a robust secondary market for digital infrastructure. The demand for data centers, power, and specialized hardware is creating significant opportunities for chipmakers, infrastructure funds, and even cryptocurrency mining firms, signaling a structural shift in the market. ## The Event in Detail Bank of America projects that the AI-driven capital investment cycle will be a key factor in boosting global economic output into 2026. This sentiment is echoed by other institutions; **Standard Chartered** recently upgraded its 2026 GDP growth forecast for China to 4.6%, citing gains in productivity. The scale of this investment is substantial. According to research from Goldman Sachs and Fidelity, the largest data center operators, including **Amazon**, **Alphabet**, **Meta**, and **Microsoft**, are on a trajectory to spend approximately $405 billion in 2025. This figure is expected to climb to $533 billion in 2026. This spending is overwhelmingly directed at building out AI-optimized data centers, a trend supported by a Goldman Sachs survey indicating that 44% of institutional investors expect technology, media, and telecom stocks to outperform in 2026. ## Market Implications The primary beneficiaries of this capital influx are the "picks and shovels" providers of the AI gold rush. **NVIDIA (NVDA)**, which commands an estimated 90% of the AI data center GPU market, remains a core holding for technology-focused funds. Fidelity's Select Technology Portfolio, for example, allocates over 25% of its assets to the chipmaker. The demand extends to physical infrastructure, with investment firms like **DigitalBridge Group** raising massive funds, such as its recent $11.7 billion vehicle, to finance the construction of data centers. This has also created unconventional beneficiaries. Bitcoin mining operations, including **IREN** and **Cipher Mining**, have successfully pivoted to leasing their powerful data center infrastructure to AI companies, leading to triple-digit percentage gains in their stock values. Furthermore, the boom is causing a ripple effect in the real economy, with a shortage of skilled labor leading to wage jumps of 25-30% for construction workers on data center projects. ## Expert Commentary Industry experts view this trend as a long-term cycle rather than a temporary surge. Adam Benjamin, portfolio manager at Fidelity, stated, "I expect the ‘picks and shovels’ that have brought the AI train this far — graphics processing units, high-speed memory, and data centers — to continue to be integral to successive improvements in 2026 and beyond." He also noted that while this benefits infrastructure players, traditional software companies "could be at risk of major disruption." However, the path is not without challenges. Leslie Golden, Global Head of Capital Formation at **DigitalBridge**, identified the two biggest hurdles as "access to capital and access to power." To mitigate long-term risk, her firm focuses on building multipurpose data centers that can be repurposed from AI workloads to general cloud services if demand shifts. This cautious approach underscores the potential for future market corrections or overbuilding. ## Broader Context The scale of AI investment is now large enough to have macroeconomic implications, influencing GDP forecasts and highlighting the critical role of digital infrastructure in the modern economy. While investor sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, as confirmed by Goldman Sachs' client survey, the same report identifies a potential "AI downshift" as a major risk to equities. The intense demand for capital and power may also become gating items for growth, with some financial underwriters becoming more stringent on complex deals. The current boom, while powerful, hinges on continued growth in AI model complexity and the ability of the market to finance and power its expansion.

American Bitcoin (ABTC) Stock Plummets Over 40% Despite Broader Crypto Rally
## Executive Summary Shares of **American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC)**, a cryptocurrency mining company with ties to Eric and Donald Trump Jr., experienced a significant sell-off on Tuesday, with the stock price falling by as much as 51%. The dramatic drop occurred paradoxically as the price of **Bitcoin (BTC)** was rallying, suggesting that the negative sentiment was specific to the company rather than the broader cryptocurrency market. This event underscores the high volatility and company-specific risks inherent in the publicly traded crypto-mining sector, even as the underlying digital assets show strength. ## The Event in Detail On Tuesday morning, shares of **ABTC** collapsed, falling 42% as of 12 p.m. EST after an initial plunge of over 51% in the hour after the market opened. This severe downturn contrasts sharply with the performance of **Bitcoin**, which rallied to over $92,000 on the same day. **American Bitcoin Corp.**, which lists Eric Trump as a co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer, debuted on the Nasdaq in September following a merger. Despite a brief surge post-launch, the stock has since declined by approximately 78% from its September high. According to its third-quarter earnings report, the company holds over 3,000 bitcoin, acquired through mining and strategic purchases, and reported revenues of $64.2 million with a net income of $3.5 million for the quarter. Notably, SEC filings indicate that nearly all major shareholders are restricted from selling their shares until 2026, which suggests the selling pressure may not be originating from its principal investors. ## Market Implications The divergence between **ABTC's** stock performance and **Bitcoin's** price rally indicates that investors are scrutinizing company-specific fundamentals and associated risks rather than simply trading the stock as a proxy for **Bitcoin**. The event had a ripple effect, with shares of mining peer **Hut 8 (HUT)** also declining by 12%. This occurred a day after a broader market downturn saw other crypto-related stocks, including **Coinbase (COIN)**, **Robinhood (HOOD)**, and **MicroStrategy (MSTR)**, fall amid general risk-averse sentiment driven by uncertainty over potential interest rate policies. ## Broader Context The cryptocurrency market has been marked by significant volatility. After reaching a record high of nearly $126,000 in October, **Bitcoin's** price has fallen more than 30%, influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Higher yields on traditional assets like bonds can reduce the appeal of riskier investments such as cryptocurrencies and related equities. The sharp decline of **ABTC** serves as a case study in how political associations and individual company performance can lead to outcomes that are decoupled from the general trajectory of the digital asset market, presenting unique risks for investors in this sector.

Unlimit Launches Stable.com Amidst Growing Competition in Stablecoin Infrastructure
## Executive Summary Unlimit's launch of Stable.com introduces a new non-custodial platform for stablecoin swaps and global off-ramps, intensifying competition in the digital asset payment sector. The move positions the company in a rapidly evolving market where regulated banks and established fintech firms are also deploying significant resources to build the infrastructure for stablecoin-based finance, signaling a broader convergence of blockchain technology and traditional banking. ## The Event in Detail **Unlimit** has debuted **Stable.com**, a platform designed to simplify stablecoin-to-fiat conversions and swaps between different stablecoins. The service operates on a non-custodial basis, which means it does not take possession of users' funds during transactions. This model is a key differentiator, appealing to users who prioritize security and direct control over their digital assets. The platform's stated goal is to provide seamless global off-ramps, enabling users to convert their stablecoin holdings into traditional currency more efficiently. ## Market Implications The introduction of **Stable.com** comes as the stablecoin market, with reported annual transaction volumes exceeding $20 trillion, sees a surge in infrastructure development from both crypto-native companies and traditional financial players. **Cross River**, a regulated U.S. bank, recently launched a **USDC** payments platform that integrates directly with its core banking system. Cross River's offering, which supports both the **Ethereum** and **Solana** blockchains, is aimed at enterprise use cases like merchant payouts and treasury management, unifying fiat and stablecoin flows within a single, compliant system. Unlimit's non-custodial approach presents a clear alternative to such bank-integrated models. While banks offer regulatory certainty and unified treasury management, non-custodial platforms appeal to a segment of the market that is wary of institutional control and counterparty risk. ## Expert Commentary The strategic decisions surrounding stablecoin infrastructure are becoming critical for all financial participants. According to Mark Nichols, a Principal at **EY**, both banks and corporations must formulate clear strategies to avoid being left behind. > "The banking community and the corporate community both need to have really clear, coherent stablecoin strategies... The battle here for me is who's going to own that wallet, but also who's going to own that infrastructure layer." Experts note a divergence in strategy. Large money-center banks are treating stablecoins as an additional payment rail to boost internal efficiencies, whereas smaller institutions are more focused on simply enabling clients to send and receive funds via these new channels. For corporations, the strategic question is whether to build proprietary digital wallets to own the customer relationship or to rely on banks as their financial hub. ## Broader Context The development of stablecoin platforms is a core component of a wider payment modernization trend. As financial services become increasingly digitized, the underlying infrastructure, or "rails," that moves money is becoming commoditized. The strategic focus is shifting from controlling the rails to owning the user-facing application—the digital wallet. As one expert noted, owning the wallet means owning the customer relationship, which is considered the ultimate strategic prize. > "Once you own that wallet, you own that relationship. That's a strategic win." This competition is unfolding amid an evolving regulatory landscape. The passage of legislative frameworks, such as the recently enacted "Genius Act," is setting new standards for stablecoin issuance and reserves. Such regulations are forcing market participants to adapt their business models, particularly those that relied on generating yield from stablecoin reserves. The launch of platforms like **Stable.com** underscores the industry-wide push to build compliant, user-friendly bridges between the traditional and digital economies.
